Wow, it seems like forever since I wrote a post here, but I guess I've been busy. Plus, the Browns haven't played in two weeks. But now everybody's back in the saddle—including me—and it's time for the only team I truly care about in the NFL to play once again. And I couldn't be happier about it.
However, to be honest, I'm just not feeling too great about this game. I think it's going to be a challenge any time we go all the way out to the west coast, but Oakland has been a pretty darn good team so far this year. Combine that with the fact that it's certainly going to be an emotional day as the Raiders commemorate the death of longtime franchise owner Al Davis, and I just don't think our prospects look very good for a win.
That being said, I think it's going to be a very competitive game, and the Browns will stay in it for the most part. After all, the Raiders are 31st in total defense so far this year giving up 422.4 yards per game—299.6 through the air and 122.8 on the ground, ranking 29th and 22nd, respectively. This is going to be a game where head coach Pat Shurmur has got to get Peyton Hillis going early and often. With all the yards the Raiders give up, it really shouldn't be too much of a problem for Hillis to get 100 yards. It'd be great if we could also get Hardesty enough carries to get around 30 yards too, but beggars can't be choosers, right?
I'm also expecting to see more out of the passing offense. It's not that they've looked terrible, but we've just got to start being more efficient and effective. That's going to come with utilizing receivers that can actually catch well—Massaquoi and Little should get plenty of playing time today for that purpose—and then getting good yards after the catch. That's what the west coast offense is built on, and I'm hoping they got enough good work in during the bye week to get better at them.
Another note for the offense is that I'm expecting that they'll use more Evan Moore—which is a great thing. He's been totally underused in the first four games, and the excuse I've heard is that he hasn't been in as much because he isn't a great blocker. But I don't care about his blocking, that's not why we signed him to an extension. This guy also needs to be involved in the offense early and often, and I'd really like to see him being used as a slot receiver. He is a complete miss-match for linebackers to cover with his speed, and his size also gives him an advantage over small cornerbacks. We've got the weapon, it's time to use it properly.
Defensively, the Browns are definitely going to struggle today. Joe Haden isn't playing with his sprained knee, which means Dimitri Patterson gets the start in his place alongside Sheldon Brown. Brown hasn't played to his normal high level, probably because he's getting a little long in the tooth. But without Haden, the way Jason Campbell has been airing it out so far this year, the secondary could have a fairly long day. Unfortunately, also the 25th ranking Browns rushing defense is going up against the #2 ranked rushing offense, led by running back Darren McFadden. That could be a big problem.
So what do I really expect today? Well, Alex Mack is going to play, despite not practicing much this week after having an appendectomy just a couple weeks ago. And while that's good news, I don't expect him to play to his usual Pro-Bowl level, so the offensive line will probably struggle. Again. Josh Cribbs also apparently has a knee injury (I believe it's a sprained knee, but I'm not positive), so he might not return kicks. And even if he does he might not be at 100%.
None of that actually answered the question, so let me try that again.
The Prediction: CLE 24 - OAK 30
I think we're going to see quarterback Colt McCoy take another good step in the right direction in terms of his development, but I think the Raiders will really run the table most of the game with their running game. And ultimately, I just don't think the Browns will be able to overcome the emotion that the Raiders will be playing with. That's not to say they won't play well, but there are just too many external factors, if you ask me.
I'll see you at the half!
~MAS
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